Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.543892 1.754712 1.985776 2.258147 2.570848 2.919108 3.337051
2025-11-09 1.172524 1.434506 1.744918 2.141039 2.634836 3.232350 4.013577
2025-11-16 0.962649 1.251654 1.616969 2.115234 2.781191 3.646225 4.864173
2025-11-23 0.806855 1.104444 1.501825 2.075580 2.889929 4.014962 5.705393
2025-11-30 0.732556 1.049913 1.495072 2.171759 3.186206 4.669167 7.035527
2025-12-07 0.659940 0.984807 1.460703 2.217907 3.409876 5.243131 8.332240
2025-12-14 0.585218 0.904949 1.391634 2.198106 3.524326 5.659449 9.439330
2025-12-21 0.512134 0.817380 1.298158 2.124351 3.537484 5.908580 10.299268
2025-12-28 0.483068 0.795484 1.304510 2.211532 3.825215 6.647879 12.118294
2026-01-04 0.455921 0.772943 1.306044 2.288778 4.103171 7.404356 14.085548
2026-01-11 0.426757 0.743218 1.291175 2.333725 4.326396 8.088486 16.020636
2026-01-18 0.400126 0.714693 1.274607 2.372268 4.540527 8.781237 18.081020
2026-01-25 0.360967 0.660489 1.207858 2.312173 4.563867 9.120711 19.503041
2026-02-01 0.319108 0.596904 1.116964 2.194222 4.455939 9.180071 20.333217
2026-02-08 0.293273 0.561079 1.074983 2.168755 4.535519 9.643674 22.158406
2026-02-15 0.268696 0.525091 1.028714 2.128511 4.577621 10.031409 23.876180
2026-02-22 0.260943 0.521803 1.047339 2.227564 4.939563 11.189631 27.689968
2026-03-01 0.248708 0.507989 1.042703 2.275103 5.190879 12.129463 31.134052
2026-03-08 0.231536 0.482047 1.009710 2.254814 5.279952 12.692689 33.693333
2026-03-15 0.211442 0.447870 0.955471 2.179051 5.224562 12.889218 35.285867
2026-03-22 0.206115 0.445403 0.970663 2.268652 5.591826 14.221339 40.373269
2026-03-29 0.200230 0.441069 0.981125 2.348043 5.944603 15.572603 45.807409
2026-04-05 0.192370 0.431441 0.978365 2.394240 6.216949 16.749744 50.965665